Trackers

Each month NIESR tracks a series of key economic indicators, including Consumer Price Inflation (CPI), Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and Wages, and uses this data to forecast the future of the UK economy.  In addition, each quarter we publish a Term Premium Tracker and from February 2021 to February 2022 we tracked UK Covid-19 infection rates.

UK Economic Indicators

GDP Trackers

Providing a estimate for the previous month's GDP, and a full forecast for the quarter of publication, our monthly GDP tracker provides a rolling monthly forecast for GDP...

Wage Trackers

Including predictions for regular pay for the whole economy, as well as forecasts for private and public sector wages, the wage tracker exploits information from key macroeconomic indicators...

CPI Trackers

CPI inflation reflects changes in the prices of thousands of products, some of them quite volatile.  Our monthly CPI Tracker looks in detail at changes in the prices...

Covid-19 Trackers

During the Covid-19 pandemic we produced weekly followed by monthly updates, using time series models, to project new cases in the UK. Our final release was in February...

Term Premium Trackers

Based on a five-factor, no-arbitrage term structure model, our Term Premium Tracker aims to provide quarterly updates of the Treasury term premia estimates for the UK, the US...

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publication

Bond Markets React to Summer Elections

26 Jun 2024

Term Premium Trackers

publication

Inflation Hits Bank of England 2 Per Cent Target in May

19 Jun 2024

CPI Trackers

publication

Growth Ahead of General Election

12 Jun 2024

GDP Trackers

publication

Inflation Falls Significantly But Risks of Rebound Remain

22 May 2024

CPI Trackers

publication

Wage Growth Remains Strong, Despite Rising Unemployment

14 May 2024

Wage Trackers

publication

Positive Growth Delivers an Encouraging Momentum

10 May 2024

GDP Trackers

publication

Services Inflation Poses Risk to Summer Interest Rate Cuts

17 Apr 2024

CPI Trackers

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