Macro-Economic Modelling and Forecasting

Our greatest economic challenge is to understand how the forces of globalisation will affect our prosperity. Modelling important economic and financial interactions in the UK and global economies is the best way to make sense of the processes shaping our future.

NIESR is the leading macroeconomics research institute in the UK and home of one of the most successful large-scale structural macroeconomic models in the world.  We produce quarterly forecasts on both the UK and global economy, as well as a series of monthly trackers. Subscribers to the National Institute Global Econometric Model (NiGEM) include central banks, finance ministries and an increasing number of private organisations.

Projects

Publications

publication

Bond Markets React to Summer Elections

26 Jun 2024

Term Premium Trackers

publication

A Macroeconomic Analysis of the Main Parties’ Spending Pledges

24 Jun 2024

General Election Briefing

publication

Inflation Hits Bank of England 2 Per Cent Target in May

19 Jun 2024

CPI Trackers

publication

Economic Priorities for the 2024 General Election

18 Jun 2024

General Election Briefing

publication

Growth Ahead of General Election

12 Jun 2024

GDP Trackers

publication

Macroeconomic Context

30 May 2024

General Election Briefing

publication

Inflation Falls Significantly But Risks of Rebound Remain

22 May 2024

CPI Trackers

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 82 83

Blog Posts

Blog

Inflation Likely to Rise in the Second Half of 2024

Huw Dixon

19 Jun 2024

8 min read

Blog

UK Inflation: A Tale of Two Forecasts

Huw Dixon

Jane Binner

Barry Jones

Jon Tepper

17 Jun 2024

3 min read

Blog

What Does Today’s Smaller Than Expected Fall in Inflation Mean?

Huw Dixon

22 May 2024

8 min read

Blog

Future Prospects for the Global Economy

Ahmet Ihsan Kaya

20 May 2024

5 min read

Blog

New Methodology Suggests Inflation May Rise to 3.2 Per Cent at the Start of 2025

Huw Dixon

Jane Binner

Barry Jones

Jon Tepper

14 May 2024

4 min read

Blog

Future Prospects for the UK Economy

Paula Bejarano Carbo

13 May 2024

5 min read

Blog

An Overview of the UK Economic Situation

Max Mosley

Stephen Millard

07 May 2024

8 min read

Blog

Inflation Still Likely to Fall to 2 per cent or Below Next Month

Huw Dixon

17 Apr 2024

8 min read

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

News

Events

People