Simon Kirby
Simon is a Senior Manager at the Bank of England. Previously he was Head of Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting at NIESR.
Research Interests
Simon’s research interests include empirical macroeconomics and forecasting.
Education
Simon has an MSc (Econ) in Industrial Relations and Personnel Management from the London School of Economics and a BSc in Mathematics and Statistics from Birkbeck College, as well as a BA in Economics and Human Resource Management from Keele University.
Employment
- Senior Manager, Bank of England, 2018 – present
- Senior Economist, Bank of England, 2017 – 2018
- Head of Macroeconomic Modelling and Forecasting, NIESR, 2014-2017
- Principal Research Fellow, NIESR, 2011-2014
- Research Fellow, NIESR, 2007-2011
- Senior Research Officer, NIESR, 2005-2007
- Research Officer, NIESR, 1999-2005
Additional Information
Publications
- Kirby, S. (2015) ‘Commentary: the macroeconomic implications of the parties’ fiscal plans’, National Institute Economic Review, No. 231, pp. F4-F11.
- Riley, R., Bewley, H., Kirby, S., Rincon-Aznar, A., George, A., (2011) The introduction of Jobcentre Plus: An evaluation of labour market impacts, Department for Work and Pensions Research Report No 781.
- Holland, D., Kirby, S. and Orazgani, A. (2011) ‘Modelling the sovereign debt crisis in Europe’, National Institute Economic Review, No. 217 pp. F37-F45.
- Barrell R, Davis E P, Fic T., Holland D., Kirby S., and Liadze I (2009) ‘Optimal regulation of bank capital and liquidity: how to calibrate new international standards’ FSA Occasional Paper no. 38, October.
- Barrell, R., Hurst, A.I. and Kirby, S. (2009) ‘The macroeconomic implications of pension reform’, in Franco, D. (ed.), Pension Reform, Fiscal Policy and Economic Performance, Bank of Italy, pp. 503–14.
- Kirby, S., Riley, R., (2008) ‘The external returns to education: UK evidence using repeated cross-sections’, Labour Economics, Vol. 15, No. 4, pp. 619-630.
- Barrell, R., Kirby, S and Riley, R. (2006) ‘Pensions, Saving and the UK Economy’, Report for the Pensions Commission.
- Bryson, A., Forth, J. and Kirby, S. (2005) ‘High Involvement Management Practices, Trade Union Representation and Workplace Performance in Britain’, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Vol. 52, No. 3, pp. 451-91.
- Kirby, S. and Riley, R. (2004) ‘Compulsory work-focused interviews for inactive benefit claimants: an evaluation of the British ONE pilots’, Labour Economics, Vol. 11, No. 4, pp. 415-29.
Publications
Discussion Papers
The Fiscal and Monetary Determinants of Sovereign Bond Yields in the Euro Area
20 Oct 2016
Discussion Papers
Modelling events: The short-term economic impact of leaving the EU
20 Jun 2016
Discussion Papers
How to Pay for the Crisis or Macroeconomic implications of pension reform
11 May 2009
Discussion Papers
Notes on the Lisbon process: An analysis of the impacts of reaching the Lisbon targets for skills, R&D and the administrative burden in the European Union
31 Oct 2007
Discussion Papers
Economic Outlooks
The fiscal implications of recent monetary policy developments
28 Oct 2016
UK Economic Outlook Box Analysis
Constraints on the European Central Bank’s QE Programme
26 Oct 2016
Global Economic Outlook Box Analysis
The UK’s Decision to Leave the EU: the Impact on European Economies
28 Jul 2016
Global Economic Outlook Box Analysis
National Institute Economic Review
Economic Policy and Surveillance in Europe: Introduction
01 Feb 2017
National Institute Economic Review
The short-term economic impact of leaving the EU
10 May 2016
National Institute Economic Review
Commentary – The macroeconomic implications of the parties’ fiscal plans
10 Feb 2015
National Institute Economic Review
Exchange rate pass-through: a view from a global structural model
05 Nov 2014
National Institute Economic Review
Policy, Budgets, & Fiscal Events
Written submission to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee Enquiry into the 2010 Comprehensive Spending Review
31 Oct 2010
Letters and Written Submissions
Written submission to the House of Commons Treasury Select Committee Enquiry into the Office for Budget Responsibility
31 Jul 2010
Letters and Written Submissions
Research Report
NIESR chart pack of the UK’s economic performance across elections since 1992
18 May 2017
Research Report
Exploratory Analysis of the English Business Survey, BIS RESEARCH PAPER NUMBER 153.
29 Nov 2013
Research Report
Economic Assessment of the Euro Area: Winter 2012/2013 – Euroframe
20 Feb 2013
Research Report
Economic Assessment of the Euro Area, Winter 2011/2012 Report – Euroframe
18 Jan 2012
Research Report
The introduction of Jobcentre Plus: An evaluation of labour market impacts
01 Dec 2011
Research Report
Blog Posts
The Long and the Short of it: What price UK Exit from the EU?
Oriol Carreras
Monique Ebell
Simon Kirby
Jack Meaning
Rebecca Piggott
James Warren
12 May 2016
9 min read
Budget 2016: the macroeconomic outlook
Simon Kirby
Jack Meaning
Rebecca Piggott
Oriol Carreras
Jessica Baker
16 Mar 2016
6 min read
Chancellor gambles on interest rates and tax receipts to hit fiscal targets
Simon Kirby
Jack Meaning
James Warren
25 Nov 2015
4 min read
Chancellor’s forecasts for housing market activity and trade balance look optimistic
Simon Kirby
Oriol Carreras
Rebecca Piggott
Jessica Baker
25 Nov 2015
4 min read